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Picture of Liam
Registered: 08-05-2005
Posts: 4056
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quote:
Originally posted by Fedya:
Max wrote:
quote:
Again, I think you're putting unnecessarily high standards on what it takes to be a "contender," particularly in today's NFL in today's NFC.

It's March. Everybody's a contender.


Not the Dukies. They choked again.
Picture of LSU4GB
Location: New Orleans, LA
Registered: 02-21-2000
Posts: 6415
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quote:
Originally posted by JJSD:
C at best. Lousy as it stands right now. It basically comes down to Rodgers. IMHO, the 2006 draft far outweighs the '05 already. As smelly as this draft is, it's already looking like TT hit a home run the next year.

http://www.packers.com/draft/2006/


Agree w/ this completely; the draft will be made or broken by Rodgers. At this point getting only two starters who you're trying to upgrade (Collins, Popp) and two marginal backups albeit w/ potential (Coston, Monty) is disappointing.

IMO, if Rodgers is even a solid QB the draft's a hit.

Bigby was also added during the '05 year I think...if you count that it sure helps.

Re: 2006 draft
It was apparent around mid-season 2006 that draft was exceptional. Even w/ total misses like Hodge (3rd), Cory Rodgers (4th), Ingle Martin (5th) that was an exceptional draft.
Throw in undrafted guys like Ruvell Martin, Jarrett Bush, etc.


Due to some solid drafts and decent waiver guys/UFA's GB's currently in a position where they really just need to hit on a difference-maker or two. I'd like to see TT take some guys w/ higher upside/greater risk regularly this year.
Picture of nerdmann
Location: st paul
Registered: 08-11-2007
Posts: 1129
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quote:
Originally posted by Fur Fish and Feathers:
quote:
Originally posted by nerdmann:
quote:
Originally posted by grbaypack:
quote:
Originally posted by Packdog:
Dx of Spinal Stenosis requires an MRI or contrast CT scan.

MRI studies are relatively expensive, and obviously a contrast CT is invasive and can have certain adverse effects. Not sure it would be worth the expense and especially the risk to dx such a rare congenital abnormality. Odds are are very good that a footbal player at the cusp of his college graduation, will not have spinal stenosis.

At the same time, it's easy and relatively cost effective to screen for other things the way it's currently done.

As to the draft, I agree that when rating a draft it seems we are evaluating the GM's performance. To give TT an "F" for making a great pick of a player like Murphy is dumb. He made a great pick, the guys had a freak injury due to a congenital condition....Incomplete.

And missing on a 6th or 7th rounder....yeah, so what ??
How come you guys continue to assume that Terrance Murphy was a great pick? The guy never played .. he never showed he could do it in real games. Sure, he had a great camp, but lots of other players have had great camps only to never really amount to much. To say he would have been great just seem kind of ludicrous to me.




Dude played. I remember thinking "WOW!" He got injured early his rookie year, but he did play in some games. Dude was gonna be a star.



"Dude was gonna be a star." Who knew? I'm upping my grade from a D to an A- then.



The way I'm grading it, I'm grading the GM. TT found a great player and took him. That's all he can do. Murphy had to history of spinal problems. There was no way anyone could know that would happen.
All GMs have guys who are lost due to freak, tragic injuries. If they also had the supernatural power to protect their players once they're drafted, we could grade them on that too. But it's something that cannot be prevented. If Terrence Murphy looked like total 5h!7, I'd downgrade TT over the pick. But the dude was a stud.
Sometimes a GM has to decide whether to take a gamble on a guy with an injury history. Remember Robbie Bosco? Heh. But this wasn't one of those scenarios.
who
Picture of who
Location: CA
Registered: 09-18-2000
Posts: 1550
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In summary, it is Ted Thompson's responsibility for his draft picks not to injure themselves. If they do injure themselves, you should downgrade Ted Thompson in his drafting of the player. No other factors play a role in the grade. It is Ted Thompson and Ted Thompson only. Time to bring back that FIRETEDTHOMPSON website. That worked well.
Picture of Johnny Boy
Registered: 03-07-2002
Posts: 2036
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I think it is more fun to look at who was available as alternate picks in the 2005 draft. Examples: Instead if Nick Collins take Frank Gore. Choose Justin Tuck rather than Murphy. Replace Underwood with either Darren Sproiles or Kerry Rhoades. Now that would have been a top draft! I still would choose Rodgers at 24 and Poppinga in round 4.
Location: Northern MN
Registered: 04-27-2007
Posts: 412
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quote:
Originally posted by who:
In summary, it is Ted Thompson's responsibility for his draft picks not to injure themselves. If they do injure themselves, you should downgrade Ted Thompson in his drafting of the player. No other factors play a role in the grade. It is Ted Thompson and Ted Thompson only. Time to bring back that FIRETEDTHOMPSON website. That worked well.



It's not shermys fault Turd couldn't stay healthy.
Picture of LSU4GB
Location: New Orleans, LA
Registered: 02-21-2000
Posts: 6415
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quote:
Originally posted by nerdmann:
The way I'm grading it, I'm grading the GM. TT found a great player and took him. That's all he can do. Murphy had to history of spinal problems. There was no way anyone could know that would happen.
All GMs have guys who are lost due to freak, tragic injuries. If they also had the supernatural power to protect their players once they're drafted, we could grade them on that too. But it's something that cannot be prevented. If Terrence Murphy looked like total 5h!7, I'd downgrade TT over the pick. But the dude was a stud.
Sometimes a GM has to decide whether to take a gamble on a guy with an injury history. Remember Robbie Bosco? Heh. But this wasn't one of those scenarios.

Looking at any draft retrospectively it seems more reasonable IMO to look at the bottom line. How many of the picks are legit players in the league? No excuses.

One caveat is good players that were cut - like Hunter Hilenmeyer. You can't say that was a bad pick; it was actually a good pick but the decision to cut him was terrible.

Another exception is probably players acquired w/ picks from a draft. Do you count Ryan Grant in some down the road analysis of the '08 draft? Probably I guess...

Sure, Murphy looked like a reasonably promising player but stating the "dude was a stud" is outrageously excessive isn't it? It looked like a decent pick but the bottom line is it didn't work out...they didn't get a player from that pick.

Yeah, it's better than trading the pick to move up and take a P or something but the result's the same. That's the whole point of waiting a few years to analyze a draft. Did you get your 2-3 starters and a contributor or two or not?
======================

It appears the '05 draft will be made or broken by Rodgers - it's that simple. Now, if Monty or Coston turn into starters the draft would probably be viewed as reasonably successful regardless.
who
Picture of who
Location: CA
Registered: 09-18-2000
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quote:
Originally posted by Fur Fish and Feathers:
quote:
Originally posted by who:
In summary, it is Ted Thompson's responsibility for his draft picks not to injure themselves. If they do injure themselves, you should downgrade Ted Thompson in his drafting of the player. No other factors play a role in the grade. It is Ted Thompson and Ted Thompson only. Time to bring back that FIRETEDTHOMPSON website. That worked well.



It's not shermys fault Turd couldn't stay healthy.


If that was the extent of Sherman's massive problems as a GM, you'd have a leg to stand on. Because it isn't, you don't.
Location: Northern MN
Registered: 04-27-2007
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quote:
Originally posted by who:
quote:
Originally posted by Fur Fish and Feathers:
quote:
Originally posted by who:
In summary, it is Ted Thompson's responsibility for his draft picks not to injure themselves. If they do injure themselves, you should downgrade Ted Thompson in his drafting of the player. No other factors play a role in the grade. It is Ted Thompson and Ted Thompson only. Time to bring back that FIRETEDTHOMPSON website. That worked well.



It's not shermys fault Turd couldn't stay healthy.


If that was the extent of Sherman's massive problems as a GM, you'd have a leg to stand on. Because it isn't, you don't.


Evaluate the '05 draft without considering Murphy. It's still below average IMO.
who
Picture of who
Location: CA
Registered: 09-18-2000
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quote:
Originally posted by Fur Fish and Feathers:
quote:
Originally posted by who:
quote:
Originally posted by Fur Fish and Feathers:
quote:
Originally posted by who:
In summary, it is Ted Thompson's responsibility for his draft picks not to injure themselves. If they do injure themselves, you should downgrade Ted Thompson in his drafting of the player. No other factors play a role in the grade. It is Ted Thompson and Ted Thompson only. Time to bring back that FIRETEDTHOMPSON website. That worked well.



It's not shermys fault Turd couldn't stay healthy.


If that was the extent of Sherman's massive problems as a GM, you'd have a leg to stand on. Because it isn't, you don't.


Evaluate the '05 draft without considering Murphy. It's still below average IMO.


Normally, I'd say you could, but when the number 1 pick has been riding the pine behind a hall of famer, it's not time to give it a grade yet.

If you allow that Murphy would have at least been a capable backup, which is hardly a stretch, you then have, in the first six picks, three starters (Rodgers, Collins, Poppinga), one capable backup (Murphy), and one backup/starter (Coston). Additionally, you have Montgomery later on, who's a backup. That may not be exciting, but I don't think it's as terrible as others have been saying it is. I also like that TT moves on quickly when one of the picks doesn't work out.
Picture of Hungry5
Location: What in the wide wide world of sports is going on out there?
Registered: 10-04-2004
Posts: 9397
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From what I can tell, most people are grading this draft (players, GM, or collective draft class) based on starter status. To me that is a bit of a skewed view. It would be great to have every player you draft start but that just does not happen as there are only so many spots. Looking at the '05 class I'd put it at a C right now and of course will turn (up or down) on Rodgers play.

11 picks overall. 5 still with the team and 4 of them contributing to a team that went to the NFC-C game. Not great but not bad... average = C.

1 24 QB Aaron Rodgers, Cal
2 51 S/CB Nick Collins, Bethune-Cookman
2 58 WR/KR Terrence Murphy, Texas A&M
4 115 S Marviel Underwood, San Diego State
4 125 LB Brady Poppinga, BYU
5 143 C/G Junius Coston, North Carolina A&T
5 167 CB Mike Hawkins, Oklahoma (From Philadelphia in Draft Day Trade)
6 180 DE Mike Montgomery, Texas A&M
6 195 WR Craig Bragg, UCLA
7 245 LB Kurt Campbell, Albany (From Philadelphia in Draft Day Trade)
7 246 G Will Whitticker, Michigan State (from New England in Draft Day Trade)
Picture of Point Brewmaster
Location: Grant County, Wisconsin
Registered: 02-02-2000
Posts: 8460
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quote:
Originally posted by FreeSafety:
Some people are grading the "draft" and some people are grading the GM on his draft picks.

I agree with this. Even the 1995 and 2000 drafts, considered by many Packer fans to be excellent, each have players who were total busts. The 1995 draft included the immortal Jay Barker, Jeff Miller, Darius Holland, and Charlie Simmons. The 2000 draft included Steve Warren, Anthony Lucas, Gary Berry, Joey Jamison, Ron Moore, Charles Lee, and Eugene McCaslin. All of the aforementioned players would be deemed busts. What made those drafts good was the fact that Wolf found enough players who were above-average to excellent starters, including Newsome, Henderson, Brian Williams, Antonio Freeman, and Timmerman from the 1995 draft, and Bubba Franks, Clifton, Diggs, KGB, and Tauscher from the 2000 draft.

The 2005 draft will ultimately be judged based on how Rodgers turns out. If Rodgers ends up being an above-average quarterback or better, then the 2005 draft would be considered pretty good. If Rodgers is a bust, either through performance or injury, or both, then I'd rate the 2005 draft as below average.

Ron Wolf's goal was to get three starters. As of right now, Aaron Rodgers is the only player who is the undisputed starter at his position. Collins has been a starter, but IMO he peaked his rookie year. He hasn't been awful, but you could definitely improve upon that position. Poppinga has showed improvement as a starter, but again he is a player you'd look to improve upon (and perhaps the Packers already have with Chillar). Coston has been given every chance to claim a starting guard position, but has not been able to hold onto it. It is possible that of the players from the 2005 draft, only Rodgers will be a starter come opening day.
Picture of nerdmann
Location: st paul
Registered: 08-11-2007
Posts: 1129
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quote:
Originally posted by Point Brewmaster:
quote:
Originally posted by FreeSafety:
Some people are grading the "draft" and some people are grading the GM on his draft picks.

I agree with this. Even the 1995 and 2000 drafts, considered by many Packer fans to be excellent, each have players who were total busts. The 1995 draft included the immortal Jay Barker, Jeff Miller, Darius Holland, and Charlie Simmons. The 2000 draft included Steve Warren, Anthony Lucas, Gary Berry, Joey Jamison, Ron Moore, Charles Lee, and Eugene McCaslin. All of the aforementioned players would be deemed busts. What made those drafts good was the fact that Wolf found enough players who were above-average to excellent starters, including Newsome, Henderson, Brian Williams, Antonio Freeman, and Timmerman from the 1995 draft, and Bubba Franks, Clifton, Diggs, KGB, and Tauscher from the 2000 draft.

The 2005 draft will ultimately be judged based on how Rodgers turns out. If Rodgers ends up being an above-average quarterback or better, then the 2005 draft would be considered pretty good. If Rodgers is a bust, either through performance or injury, or both, then I'd rate the 2005 draft as below average.

Ron Wolf's goal was to get three starters. As of right now, Aaron Rodgers is the only player who is the undisputed starter at his position. Collins has been a starter, but IMO he peaked his rookie year. He hasn't been awful, but you could definitely improve upon that position. Poppinga has showed improvement as a starter, but again he is a player you'd look to improve upon (and perhaps the Packers already have with Chillar). Coston has been given every chance to claim a starting guard position, but has not been able to hold onto it. It is possible that of the players from the 2005 draft, only Rodgers will be a starter come opening day.



Gary Berry was looking all world until he broke his neck. Another Terrence Murphy type situation.
Picture of nerdmann
Location: st paul
Registered: 08-11-2007
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quote:
Originally posted by who:
quote:
Originally posted by Fur Fish and Feathers:
quote:
Originally posted by who:
quote:
Originally posted by Fur Fish and Feathers:
quote:
Originally posted by who:
In summary, it is Ted Thompson's responsibility for his draft picks not to injure themselves. If they do injure themselves, you should downgrade Ted Thompson in his drafting of the player. No other factors play a role in the grade. It is Ted Thompson and Ted Thompson only. Time to bring back that FIRETEDTHOMPSON website. That worked well.



It's not shermys fault Turd couldn't stay healthy.


If that was the extent of Sherman's massive problems as a GM, you'd have a leg to stand on. Because it isn't, you don't.


Evaluate the '05 draft without considering Murphy. It's still below average IMO.


Normally, I'd say you could, but when the number 1 pick has been riding the pine behind a hall of famer, it's not time to give it a grade yet.

If you allow that Murphy would have at least been a capable backup, which is hardly a stretch, you then have, in the first six picks, three starters (Rodgers, Collins, Poppinga), one capable backup (Murphy), and one backup/starter (Coston). Additionally, you have Montgomery later on, who's a backup. That may not be exciting, but I don't think it's as terrible as others have been saying it is. I also like that TT moves on quickly when one of the picks doesn't work out.



There are other factors. For instance Collins looked way better before Schottenheimer/Sanders took over. Underwood blew up his knee. Plus Coston was real young, so he was a bit of a project. Are you arguing we should replace TT?
Poppinga's arguably being used improperly as well.
Picture of JJSD
Location: San Diego
Registered: 12-19-2005
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Bump. Interesting read. Many of us, myself included, need a bite of lovepack's crow burrito. Collins and Rodgers have developed this year, and along with Pop's good play has IMHO made this a pretty good draft.
Picture of The Artist fka TD
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quote:
Originally posted by squirrelpee:
quote:
Originally posted by the-icon:
Its turned out to be more of a D. Collins is ok but not great, same with Poppinga. Murphy would have been good but had the injury. Coston might be something but might not.

I think Rodgers is either going to be a complete flop like Harrington, or hang on a few years kind of like Carr. So that will make the draft pretty bad overall. I don't fault Thompson on that though because he was put in a can't win position.


Pretty much as I see it as well. Though I was a little more generous I gave it a D+

Hey packerboi can you grade my term papers? I like how you grade. Wink


Whitticker had two carries, bump it up to a C - .
Picture of Grave Digger
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Registered: 03-20-2005
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We all knew Rodgers would make or break this draft. So far he's making it!
Picture of Pack4FR
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Taking just one draft, especially the first one, w/o looking at the others is somewhat a disservice to Thompson. Needs dictated who we drafted and it doesn't consider who were available as FA. If Rodgers is the criteria by which we judge that draft we might be waiting another five years to grade it.
Picture of CUPackFan
Location: Denver, CO
Registered: 08-16-2005
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Through 7 games in 2008, this draft has 2 pro bowl players in Rodgers and Collins. Throw in a quality starter in Poppinga and a decent backup in Montgomery and this is a pretty damn good draft. And I still think that this was TT's least impressive draft from a depth standpoint. Dude knows tallant.
Picture of El-Ka-Bong
Location: René Descartes was a drunken fart. 'I drink therefore I am.'
Registered: 01-11-2004
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nerdman was here overquoting threads in March?

huh.
Picture of nerdmann
Location: st paul
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quote:
Originally posted by El-Ka-Bong:
nerdman was here overquoting threads in March?

huh.



Yeah. I was also saying Favre was going to come out of retirement. AND that Rodgers would be very good. MARK IT DOWN!
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